Tuesday, December 30, 2008

mkt news

Alert Name: Bullish Head and Shoulders Bottom
Alert Criteria: Stocks (Any Indian Exchange); Head and Shoulders Bottom; Daily and Weekly Events.
Symbol Exchange Name Event Close at Event Target Price Range Opportunity Type
AUTAXL NSE Automotive Axles Ltd Head and Shoulders Bottom 114.00 138.00 - 144.00 Intermediate-Term Bullish
DWASUG NSE Dwarikesh Sugar Industries Ltd Head and Shoulders Bottom 40.25 50.00 - 52.00 Intermediate-Term Bullish
ELEENG NSE Elecon Engineering Co Ltd Head and Shoulders Bottom 37.20 49.00 - 51.00 Intermediate-Term Bullish
ENTNET BSE Entertainment Network India Ltd Head and Shoulders Bottom 169.60 210.00 - 224.00 Intermediate-Term Bullish
ENTNET NSE Entertainment Network India Ltd Head and Shoulders Bottom 170.00 210.00 - 224.00 Intermediate-Term Bullish
GLDY BSE Glodyne Technoserve Ltd Head and Shoulders Bottom 228.00 315.00 - 334.00 Intermediate-Term Bullish
GLDY NSE Glodyne Technoserve Ltd Head and Shoulders Bottom 230.00 311.00 - 331.00 Intermediate-Term Bullish
GOACAR BSE Goa Carbons Ltd Head and Shoulders Bottom 50.70 65.00 - 69.00 Intermediate-Term Bullish
ICRLIM NSE ICRA Ltd Head and Shoulders Bottom 443.00 533.00 - 555.00 Intermediate-Term Bullish
ILFVEN NSE IL&FS Investment Managers Ltd Head and Shoulders Bottom 133.00 177.00 - 187.00 Intermediate-Term Bullish
MADPRO NSE Madhucon Projects Ltd Head and Shoulders Bottom 82.45 101.00 - 105.00 Intermediate-Term Bullish
NATSYN NSE IOL Netcom Ltd Head and Shoulders Bottom 47.10 53.25 - 54.75 Intermediate-Term Bullish
PRICEM NSE Rain Commodities Ltd Head and Shoulders Bottom 90.60 110.00 - 115.00 Intermediate-Term Bullish
SMIBC NSE GlaxoSmithKline Consumer Healthcare Ltd Head and Shoulders Bottom 590.00 664.00 - 682.00 Intermediate-Term Bullish
SUNTV NSE Sun TV Network Ltd Head and Shoulders Bottom 183.05 224.00 - 236.00 Intermediate-Term Bullish
TATHON NSE Honeywell Automation India Ltd Head and Shoulders Bottom 918.00 1,023.00 - 1,068.00 Intermediate-Term Bullish
Alert Name: India, Bullish
Alert Criteria: Stocks (Any Indian Exchange); Price at least 3.00; Volume at least 50,000; Classic Patterns; Bullish; Daily Events.
Symbol Exchange Name Event Close at Event Target Price Range Opportunity Type
APOHOS NSE Apollo Hospitals Enterprise Ltd Diamond Bottom 448.00 571.00 - 598.00 Intermediate-Term Bullish
ASHLEY BSE Ashok Leyland Ltd Flag (Bullish) 15.00 18.60 - 19.40 Short-Term Bullish
ASTMIC BSE Astra Microwave Products Ltd Bottom Triangle 51.25 64.00 - 68.00 Intermediate-Term Bullish
BAFINS NSE Bajaj Finserv Ltd. Megaphone Bottom 147.40 198.00 - 210.00 Intermediate-Term Bullish
BEML NSE B E M L Ltd Flag (Bullish) 331.50 382.00 - 395.00 Short-Term Bullish
EIDPAR NSE EID Parry (India) Ltd Bottom Triangle 150.00 202.00 - 214.00 Intermediate-Term Bullish
ELEENG NSE Elecon Engineering Co Ltd Head and Shoulders Bottom 37.20 49.00 - 51.00 Intermediate-Term Bullish
ENTNET BSE Entertainment Network India Ltd Head and Shoulders Bottom 169.60 210.00 - 224.00 Intermediate-Term Bullish
ENTNET NSE Entertainment Network India Ltd Head and Shoulders Bottom 170.00 210.00 - 224.00 Intermediate-Term Bullish
FUTCAP BSE Future Capital Holding Ltd Pennant (Bullish) 180.00 223.00 - 235.00 Short-Term Bullish
GMRINF BSE GMR Infrastructure Ltd Diamond Bottom 75.15 105.00 - 112.00 Intermediate-Term Bullish
GMRINF NSE GMR Infrastructure Ltd Diamond Bottom 75.05 104.00 - 111.00 Intermediate-Term Bullish
ICIBAN BSE ICICI Bank Ltd Flag (Bullish) 458.05 533.00 - 553.00 Short-Term Bullish
ICIBAN NSE ICICI Bank Ltd Flag (Bullish) 460.00 532.00 - 552.00 Short-Term Bullish
MANCHE NSE Mangalore Chemicals & Fertilizers Ltd Flag (Bullish) 13.30 16.40 - 17.10 Short-Term Bullish
PRAIN BSE Praj Industries Ltd Diamond Bottom 64.55 99.00 - 107.00 Intermediate-Term Bullish
PRAIN NSE Praj Industries Ltd Diamond Bottom 64.30 99.00 - 107.00 Intermediate-Term Bullish
SUNADV BSE Sun Pharma Advanced Research Company (SPARC) Ltd Flag (Bullish) 42.35 55.00 - 58.00 Short-Term Bullish
SUNTV BSE Sun TV Network Ltd Bottom Triangle 183.45 219.00 - 230.00 Intermediate-Term Bullish
SUNTV NSE Sun TV Network Ltd Bottom Triangle 183.05 222.00 - 234.00 Intermediate-Term Bullish
SUNTV NSE Sun TV Network Ltd Head and Shoulders Bottom 183.05 224.00 - 236.00 Intermediate-Term Bullish
VARIN NSE Varun Industries Ltd Flag (Bullish) 34.00 49.00 - 52.00 Short-Term Bullish
Alert Name: India, Bearish
Alert Criteria: Stocks (Any Indian Exchange); Price at least 5.00; Volume at least 50,000; Classic Patterns; Bearish; Daily Events.
Symbol Exchange Name Event Close at Event Target Price Range Opportunity Type
VERMAC BSE Vertex Spinning Ltd Head and Shoulders Top 9.25 7.90 - 8.10 Intermediate-Term Bearish
Alert Name: Any Short Term Pattern
Alert Criteria: Stocks (Any Indian Exchange); Price 5.00 to 300.00; Volume between 50,000 and 10,000,000; Short-term Patterns; Any Opportunity Type (Bullish, Bearish or Other); Daily Events.
  • Following are the first 50 matching Technical Event® opportunities out of 67. Please consider refining your alert criteria.
Symbol Exchange Name Event Close at Event Target Price Range Opportunity Type
AGRDUT NSE Agro Dutch Industries Ltd Engulfing Line (Bullish) 13.45 n/a Short-Term Bullish
AGRDUT NSE Agro Dutch Industries Ltd Outside Bar (Bullish) 13.45 n/a Short-Term Bullish
ALLBAN NSE Allahabad Bank Engulfing Line (Bullish) 50.45 n/a Short-Term Bullish
ASHLEY BSE Ashok Leyland Ltd Engulfing Line (Bullish) 15.00 n/a Short-Term Bullish
BAFINS NSE Bajaj Finserv Ltd. Gap Up 147.40 n/a Other
BAGFIL NSE B.A.G Films & Media Ltd Engulfing Line (Bullish) 15.00 n/a Short-Term Bullish
BANOVE BSE Bang Overseas Ltd Engulfing Line (Bullish) 158.90 n/a Short-Term Bullish
BFLSOF NSE Mphasis Ltd Engulfing Line (Bullish) 159.05 n/a Short-Term Bullish
BGRENE BSE BGR Energy Systems Ltd Inside Bar (Bullish) 141.45 n/a Short-Term Bullish
CANBAN BSE Canara Bank Hammer 193.55 n/a Short-Term Bullish
CANBAN NSE Canara Bank Hammer 193.00 n/a Short-Term Bullish
ELECAS BSE Electrosteel Castings Ltd Inside Bar (Bullish) 14.24 n/a Short-Term Bullish
ELECAS NSE Electrosteel Castings Ltd Inside Bar (Bullish) 14.30 n/a Short-Term Bullish
ENTNET BSE Entertainment Network India Ltd Gap Up 169.60 n/a Other
EVESYS NSE Everonn System India Ltd Engulfing Line (Bullish) 229.40 n/a Short-Term Bullish
GNFC NSE Gujarat Narmada Valley Fertilisers Co Ltd Engulfing Line (Bullish) 53.50 n/a Short-Term Bullish
HCLTEC NSE HCL Technologies Ltd Engulfing Line (Bullish) 116.15 n/a Short-Term Bullish
HCLTEC NSE HCL Technologies Ltd Outside Bar (Bullish) 116.15 n/a Short-Term Bullish
HINLEV BSE Hindustan Unilever Ltd Inside Bar (Bullish) 252.00 n/a Short-Term Bullish
INDBUL BSE Indiabulls Financial Services Ltd Engulfing Line (Bearish) 137.90 n/a Short-Term Bearish
INDBUL NSE Indiabulls Financial Services Ltd Engulfing Line (Bearish) 137.90 n/a Short-Term Bearish
ISPIND NSE Ispat Industries Ltd Hammer 11.80 n/a Short-Term Bullish
JYOSTR NSE Jyoti Structures Ltd Gap Up 73.50 n/a Other
KALPOW NSE Kalpataru Power Transmission Ltd Key Reversal Bar (Bullish) 276.95 n/a Short-Term Bullish
MANCHE NSE Mangalore Chemicals & Fertilizers Ltd Engulfing Line (Bullish) 13.30 n/a Short-Term Bullish
MAYINF NSE Maytas Infra Ltd Inverted Hammer 161.60 n/a Short-Term Bullish
MCLRUS NSE McLeod Russel India Ltd Inside Bar (Bullish) 48.25 n/a Short-Term Bullish
MTNL BSE Mahanagar Telephone Nigam Ltd Hammer 79.80 n/a Short-Term Bullish
MYSCEM NSE Mysore Cements Ltd Hammer 14.65 n/a Short-Term Bullish
PARDE NSE Parsvnath Developers Limited Hammer 47.30 n/a Short-Term Bullish
PRICE NSE Prism Cement Ltd Engulfing Line (Bullish) 18.30 n/a Short-Term Bullish
PYRSAI BSE Pyramid Saimira Theatre Ltd Gap Down 42.40 n/a Other
PYRSAI BSE Pyramid Saimira Theatre Ltd Inverted Hammer 42.40 n/a Short-Term Bullish
PYRSAI NSE Pyramid Saimira Theatre Ltd Gap Down 42.40 n/a Other
PYRSAI NSE Pyramid Saimira Theatre Ltd Gravestone (Bullish) 42.40 n/a Short-Term Bullish
RAJEXP BSE Rajesh Exports Ltd Engulfing Line (Bullish) 25.35 n/a Short-Term Bullish
ROHFER NSE Rohit Ferro-Tech Ltd Engulfing Line (Bullish) 19.85 n/a Short-Term Bullish
ROHFER NSE Rohit Ferro-Tech Ltd Outside Bar (Bullish) 19.85 n/a Short-Term Bullish
SELMAN NSE SEL Manufacturing Co Ltd Hammer 57.00 n/a Short-Term Bullish
SHICEM BSE Shiva Cement Ltd Engulfing Line (Bullish) 5.29 n/a Short-Term Bullish
SININD NSE Sintex Industries Ltd Hammer 199.85 n/a Short-Term Bullish
SUNADV NSE Sun Pharma Advanced Research Company (SPARC) Ltd Engulfing Line (Bullish) 42.60 n/a Short-Term Bullish
SUNADV NSE Sun Pharma Advanced Research Company (SPARC) Ltd Inside Bar (Bullish) 42.60 n/a Short-Term Bullish
TAKSOL NSE Take Solutions Ltd Hammer 23.95 n/a Short-Term Bullish
TANAER BSE Taneja Aerospace and Aviation Ltd Engulfing Line (Bullish) 30.40 n/a Short-Term Bullish
TV18 NSE Television Eighteen India Ltd Hammer 90.25 n/a Short-Term Bullish
VAKRAN NSE Vakrangee Softwares Ltd Engulfing Line (Bullish) 32.00 n/a Short-Term Bullish
VIJBAN NSE Vijaya Bank Inverted Hammer 32.90 n/a Short-Term Bullish
VIKWSP BSE Vikas W S P Ltd Gap Up 14.38 n/a Other
ZEENEW NSE Zee News Ltd Inverted Hammer 34.75 n/a Short-Term Bullish



The Indian market opened on positive note and drift lower in afternoon session but saw smart recovery in later session and close in green zone . For coming session in nifty trade above 2999 it can test 3031 -3053 on the lower side 2944 will act support zone .

Buy above 483 SL 477 Target 494-505
Buy above 778 SL 765 Target 791-809
Buy above 80 SL 75 Target 82-86-90 (HIGH RISK CALL)
Buy above 1129 SL 1110 Target 1144
Sell TATACOMM below 493 SL 505 Target 486-478



FUTURE

ABOVE 2969 TARGET 3003-3048-3119
BELOW 2939 TARGET 2916-2894-2865








NSE Index (C-2979.50)

Resistance : 3015 / 3060-70 / 3090 / 3120

Support : 2960 / 2930-20 / 2860 / 2840


BSE Sensex (C-9716.16) : Buying Expecting Once SENSEX Starts Trading Above 9775 , Till Then Be Stock Specific Only

Resistance : 9835 / 9955

Support : 9665 / 9545 / 9375


Nifty Future (C-2986.90)

Resistance : 3035 / 3070-80

Support : 2965 / 2925 / 2860


Bank Future (C-5076.00)

Resistance : 5170 / 5260

Support : 5050 / 4955 / 4840



MKT COMMENTS

NIFTY FUT OI down 1.68% with flat volumes indicating unwinding of long positions at higher levels.

We expect NIFTY FUT to trade volatile with possibility of profit booking at higher levels.

On the Wednesday ,Opening is Flat to Up,

Stay Long Above 2970,Sl Below 2955,Tgt 3015-3035-3055-3105,

Sustain Below 2955,Sell with Sl Above 2970,Tgt 2930-2910-2855/45-2725.




SATYAM COMPUTER
Buy Above 162,Sl 156,Tgt 168/175
Sell Below 154,Sl 156,Tgt 149/138


BPCL

Buy Above 387,Sl 380,Tgt 392/400
Sell Below 378,Sl 382,Tgt 374/362


J.P. ASSOCIATES
Buy Above 84,Sl 82,Tgt 86/89
Sell Below 81,Sl 82,Tgt 80/76



CENTRAL BANK
Buy Above 40,Sl 40,Tgt 41/42
Sell Below 39,Sl 40,Tgt 38/37


WIPRO

Buy Above 238,Sl 236.Tgt 241/245

Sell Below 234,Sl 236,Tgt 230/227


HINDUNILEVER

Buy Above 255,Sl 252,Tgt 258/261+

Sell Below 250,Sl 252,Tgt 246/242+


AURO PHARMA : Buy Above 165,Sl 160,Tgt 170/175

ALLAHABAD BANK : Buy Above 51,Sl 50,Tgt 53++

Buy ADLABS Above 175/77

Buy CAIRN Above 175,Sl 170,Tgt 180/85/90


Buy ABAN Above 650,Sl 630,Tgt 690/715/40

Buy ABB Above 450,Sl 445,Tgt 455/60/70


Buy BANKINDIA Above 295,Tgt 300-305-320,Sl -285

Buy BHARTI Above 725,Tgt 735-750-785,Sl 720

Buy JETAIRWAYS Above 200,Tgt 210-215-240,Sl 195



Sell MASTEK Below 160,Tgt 155-150-145,Sl 164

Sell TATASTEEL Below @ 215,Tgt 210-205-195,Sl 220

Sell GRASIM Below @ 1235,Tgt 1215-1190-1135,Sl 1240

TATAPOWER (740) Sell with Sl Above 725,Tgt-751-760


FUTURES


Buy CROMPTON GREAVES Jan @133,Sl 132,Tgt 134/136-137-138/139/141/143 (Lot Size 500)

HDFC BANK (C-1019) : Buy Arnd 1015-20,Tgt 1035+++,Sl 995 ( Positional Traders Buy With Sl 985)

PUNJAB NATIONAL BANK (C-531.1) : Buy Around 520-25,Tgt 540+++,Sl 510

RENUKA (C-70.10) : Buy Around 68-69,Tgt 73+++Sl 66 ( Positional Traders Buy With Sl 63)

RELIANCE COMM (C-228.15) : Buy Arnd 220-25,Tgt 235+++,Sl 215 ( Positional : Buy With Sl 205)

REL (585.25) : Buy @ 570-75,Sl 555,Tgt 595/605

RIL(1249) : Buy @ 1230-35,Sl 1220,Tgt 1260/1270

SBI(1289) : Buy @ 1270-75,Sl 1255,Tgt 1290/1310/1320 (If Open High Sell for Intraday @ 1315-25,Sl 1340,Tgt 1285/1275

Sell FINANCIAL TECH Jan @515,Sl 521,Tgt 511/509/507/502-496/491/488-483/475/470(Lot Size 150)



First of all, wish u and ur family a very happy and blessed new year.


now coming back to the markets, if someone would have read the blog yestrday, should have made huge profits intraday(hopefully). thts the only reason i keep telling, forget all news, views, and just concentrate on levels to make money.


for today i am uploading a nifty futures EOD chart to show that nifty faced strong resistence arnd 3015 and fell from there.


now for today, if we open gap up, and sustain 2990 levels, nifty may go on to hit 3053 levels for intraday. NO SHORTING IS ADVISED TILL WE CLOSE BELOW THE TRENDLINE, as closing above 3055 may take nifty to 3240 levels as we..today only and only if we close below 2990, one may go short and hold it positionally with the day's high as SL.


however this will not be a completely safe trade, as, market only becomes a short if closes below 2842 levels as of now.


intraday support exists around 2957 levels





Sensex Technical View:
The pullback from 9200-9000 band continues with Sensex inching closer to 9800 zone. The upside resistance comes aroud 10050 -10400 zones. Only a move beyond 10400 could lead to an extension of the rally. The strategy remains to trade selectively between 8900 -10400.

Stocks to watchout for :

Balrampur Chini :
A flag pattern is observed on the charts. 2-3 Sessions close above 48 will give a move to 55-60 levels in short term Stop placed around 45. Even Bajaj Hind , Renuka Sugars look good for some moves technically.

GMR Infra
Buy on sustaining above 75 for a tgt of 80-84 in short term. Stop placed below 72-71.

Power Finance
The stock has been in the range of 135 to 120 for the last few weeks. Above 135 can give a move to 144-150 in extreme short term. Quick traders can keep a watch.

High risk picks which can surprise in short term if they see moves with volumes. Traders can keep it on their tickers. Buy if sustains 3-5 % above cmp with good volumes.

Triveni Engg , Suzlon , Sintex Inds , Central Bank.

Satyam had clearly presented the view when the stock started correcting below 140 and gave opportunities till 115. Also the range to buy in pyramid way was to 140-110. Pyramiding implies going say 50-100-200 and so on in falls to build a position. The strategy to book profits would similarly be in pyramid method of 50-100-200 and so on to reduce risks and conserve gains.
Stock has moved frm 120 to 160 which is a minimum returns of 15-30 %. Advise is to book 30-50 % of holding and trail rest.






Nifty has managed to close above 5 DMA comfortably. Now to hold on to that gains..

There is a minor negative divergence in the 5-minute chart that has triggered the last hour fall. Now if the supports at 2930 or 2900 or 2890 is held, there is a likelihood of this uptrend continuing.If world mkts are good/ flat, 2930 should hold.

Any weakness below 2890 will result in selling towards a critical 2830 level break of which fall will accelerate.

So allow the correction to find its bottom for buying into.

Presently, daily is in uptrend and hourly getting into +ve area. As long as this set up carries on, no trouble for bulls.A December month close & a year close tomorrow.








yes market still in a triangle,the triangle is as per our last weeks assumption the symmetrical triangle.so our guessing that this triangle will turn out as symmetrical triangle prove right.now wait for this triangle complete properly with inside wave count.triangle is difficult to trade with common technical techniques
but not for Elliot wave users and our swing trading users.they can make good enough profit.,in triangle also.




newsletter

Nifty - 2922.20 (+64.95)
Sensex - 9533.52 (+204.60)

Short Term Turning Dates (+/- 1 Day)* -

(* Effect can start few hours to 1 day earlier)

Dec 29th (** Downward Jerk Later in day which may extend to Tuesday - Signal Strength Medium **)
Dec 31st (** Volatile Movement, likely to be higher initially - Signal Strength Medium **)
Jan 02nd (** 2 way Movement, 2nd part may show recovery - Signal Strength Medium **)

Technical Outlook (30th December 2008)

As already mentioned yesterday "Nifty has achieved the bearish target of 2850 given a couple of days back & now it is ripe for recovery to 2895 & 2980 with strong resistance at 2925. On the bearish side, another close below 2900 can target 2700 in near future." Nifty opened on a bearish note on negative cues from global market & continued to trade in negative territory till 11:30 am. However, institutional buying initiated the technical recovery & in the process Nifty touched the target of 2895 & it is heading towards the target of 2980 which was given a couple of days back. But at the same time, Nifty may face resistance at current levels & drift downward for corrective decline to 2875 & below.

As far as, EST charts are concerned, Nifty is slightly overbought in intra day charts & ripe for corrective decline to 2875 & on the other hand, successive close above 2930 may initiate further recovery to 2980 & 3050 in next 2-4 days. But it must be kept in mind that many index heavy weight stocks have already given bearish breakout in short term charts & targets of which are not achieved. Therefore, any technical recovery towards 2980 or 3050 may be used for short term profit booking to re-enter at later stage.

Sector wise, select auto, IT, oil exploration, infrastructure, pharma, banking, IT education, power stocks attracted buying at lower levels which lifted Nifty from 2812 to 2931 (rise of more than 120 points in last few hours). On the other hand, select auto, sugar, telecom, shipping, infra were among the losers during the day. As far as A/D data is concerned it was in favor of bulls in the ratio of 7:5 with 496 declines & 681 advances during the day.

In nutshell, Nifty bounced back on expected lines to touch the first target of 2895 & headed towards second target of 2980 with EST resistance at 2925-2930. Now charts are in favor of further recovery to 2980+ but in the meanwhile, minor corrective decline to 2875 is not ruled out. Failure to close above 2930 will invite another round of profit booking towards 2700 in next few days. The best strategy should be to buy lightly if moves/stays above 2930 for quick gain of 50-100 points or use higher levels to book profit to re-enter after 10-15 days.

Astrological Outlook for the Week (29th December 2008 - 02nd January 2009)

Indian Stock Market - Very Volatile Week with Sharp swings till 01st Jan.

Current Planetary Position - Astrologically, in Transit, both Sun and Mars are placed in Sagittarius along with Pluto. Neecha (Debilitated) Jupiter continues to be stationed in Capricorn along with Rahu, Neptune, Mercury (entered on 28th) and Moon. Venus would move to Aquarius on 29th where Uranus is already positioned. Saturn is stationed in Leo. Ketu is placed in Cancer. Moon will Transit through Capricorn, Aquarius and Pisces during this week. Important to note that Mercury entered Capricorn on 28th December and Venus entered Aquarius on 29th December and Saturn will get retrograde on 31st December 2008.

Coming to few aspects in transit and with Natal Charts of NSE & BSE - In Transit Mars will conjunct Pluto on 29th December which can cause sudden fall and rise later. Mercury will conjunct Jupiter on 31st December which is very bullish and capable of making a rise of more than 2%. Saturn will turn retrograde on 31st December which will cause volatility in terms of fall first and sudden up move later. Transit Venus will have sextile aspect with Pluto on 05th January 2009 which can cause fall of 2% or more after 05th.

Moon's transit through Capricorn and Aquarius will cause lot of volatility and Moon's entry to Pisces is generally bearish. But Moon's effect are not to be seen in isolation but in totality with Bullish and Bearish aspects of other planets.

Expected Weekly Movement -In totality, keeping all the planetary configuration, bullish and bearish aspects in mind, it appears, that Market may give a Downward Jerk on Monday till early Tuesday but expected to bounce back soon and 31st December may be very volatile but mildly bullish. Sentiments may remain bullish till 02nd January.

Strict Caution is advised to all Traders and Investors that period from 29th December to 09th January which does not look favorable for World Financial Markets. Both Investors and Traders must stay Liquid and avoid trading in a big way which could result in losses. A Good Rally in Stock Market is possible after 09th January.

Despite volatility, Crude Oil likely to rise in January after initial decline. But Gold and Silver are expected to Decline in coming weeks. Indian Rupee will also be under pressure against US Dollar.


Astrologically there are "3 Turning Dates this week - All Medium". Most of the Indices like Nifty/ Nifty Future/Bank Nifty/Nifty MidCap/ CNXIT likely to give good downward Jerk on 29th, Volatile on 31st (Rise and fall) and rise on 02nd January .It must be kept in mind that lot of volatility is expected so trading/ investing in big way may be avoided.

Trading Strategy - Keeping in mind the different Astrological Turning Dates during the week, For conservative Traders "Selective Short Selling on Monday (29th) to Book Profit on Monday or early Tuesday. Select Buying on Tuesday (30th) to Book Profit on Wednesday (31st) and again select buying on Thursday (01st) to Book profit on Friday (02nd January) likely to give good returns during the week as far as Nifty Futures, Nifty, Nifty-Madcap and Sensex are concerned. (IMPORTANT- - As already stated many time, Astrological Effects can start few hours to 1 Day earlier then expected so take anticipated market movement as a Guidance only not for over-trading or building large positions on sides of expected trends).

Important Dates

29th December (+/- 1 Day)**

31st December (+/- 1 Day)**
02nd January (+/- 1 Day)**

Crude Oil / Gold / Silver/ Copper

As already mentioned that Crude Oil is preparing for Multi-week Rally which can take it to US$65 - US$85 in coming months. On down side, it has strong support @US$36-US$40. Oil is likely to rise after 25th December till 01st Week of January 2009. Gold, is heading for decline in next 3 weeks despite volatility and initial rise till 01st Week of January. Silver is also showing weakness between 01st January to 14th January. Long positions may be avoided after 01st January for next 2-3 weeks.

US Dollar/ Indian Rupee ( USDINR)

Astrologically, Indian Rupee is expected to remain WEAK against US Dollar for next few days before bouncing back.

US Markets
Astrologically, US Markets may be slightly positive in next week but sharp swings are likely to shake the market on down side till 07th/ 08th January 2009.

Technical Stock Recommendations (Short Term)


Indiabulls(143.15)
Stock has risen sharply from 90 to 147 in last 20-25 days putting EST momentum indicators in overbought zone with negative divergences which can bring down the prices to 130 & below in coming days. Part profit booking/short selling may be considered on technical recovery till 148-150 using SL of Rs.6/- & target of 125-130 which may be achieved soon.

IVRCL Infra(140.05)
Stock has been moving in a "Rising Channel" pattern as well as it has formed a "Descending Triangle" pattern with support at 135, breakout from where may target 115-117 in coming days. Part profit booking/short selling may be considered once the stock moves/closes below 135 using SL of Rs.5/- & target of 115-117 which may be achieved soon.

Ranbaxy Labs.(234)

Stock, after moving in a consolidation pattern as well as "Complex Inverted Head & Shoulder" pattern has given bullish breakout with good volumes which can take the prices to 255+ in coming weeks. Fresh buying may be considered on declines till 225 using SL of Rs.10/- & target of 245-255 which is likely to be achieved in few sessions.

HDIL(129.35)
Stock has declined sharply from 180 to 120 in last 6 days putting EST momentum indicators in oversold zone with positive divergences which can initiate technical recovery to 138 & 148 in next few sessions. Fresh buying may be considered if the stock moves/stays above 130 using SL of Rs.5/- & target of 138 & 148.

Aban Off Shore(666.6)
Stock has declined sharply from 835 to 638 in last 8 days putting EST momentum indicators in oversold zone with positive divergences which can initiate technical recovery to 725-730 in next few sessions. Fresh buying may be considered if the stock moves/stays above 675 using SL of Rs.15/- & target of 725-730.


Nifty CMP : 2922
Charts Shows the Fibonnaci Resistance levels drawn between the recent high 3110 and the
recent low of 2813. And Here are the Fibonacci levels.
38.2% Retracement- 2928
50% Retracement - 2963
61% Retracement - 2998

Nifty future has resistance of 2971 zone.Close above 2971 will give 3025-3046 on nifty.


______________________________________________________________





Ranbaxy stoploss hit .


Please exit.


______________________________________________________________


Sell Sell Sell


















Sell 10-100-1000 lots of Federal Bank futures today in opening around158-160 range.


Stoploss 162 on closing basis.



Target 5-7% downside(153-149)






Book whenver in profit,do not wait for all targets to hit.


Sell SATYAMCOMP TGT: 142,138 SL: 149,

Sell HDFCBANK TGT: 1015, 1008 SL: 1030

Buy DLF TGT: 284,288 SL: 276.5

Sell HDIL TGT: 124,120 SL: 128

Buy SATYAMCOMP TGT: 155,159 SL: 148

Buy Niftyfutures Target: 2965, 2980 SL: 2935,

Sell Nifty futures Target: 2965, 2955 SL: 3000.

Sell Niftyfutures Target: 2910, 2890 SL: 2940


I am on leave in Chandigarh and with four kids running around the house and the Xbox – there is really no time for updating the blog but all the same it has become a habit for me so here I go – up and awake after a late session of Halo3. Why do I call the trading yesterday as inconsequential? because the holiday mood extends and the volumes were fairly thin but the flow of the news regarding the Stimulus package and the rate cut by the banks gave it the push it required for a recovery from the otherwise weak market that was slipping red.Picture1 See the markets as of yesterday? The markets opened below the Pivot and was testing the Support at 2814 – then as it decided that enough is enough – it broke past the Pivot to go up to the R1 and ended below that. I sometimes wonder how these levels play such an important role at all. One more thing before I go ahead – the charts and markings are by me and they give a rough idea about the session – please do not take them to be too accurate as the lines are placed by me manually.

The behaviour of entire Asia was somewhat on the same lines – open weak and then went green. Nikkei closed up 0.09%, Hang Seng up 1.02% and Strait Times up 3.18%. Europe was better than Asia FTSE opened green closed green +2.44%, DAX up 1.63% and CAC up 0.47%. US was weak – actually US will remain weak for some time to come now and no amount of news can contribute in any sense to being good. DOW was down 0.37%, Nasdaq down 1.3% and S&P was down 0.39%. Inspite of all the negativities' the Asia today morning has opened green and climbed to better levels. Nikkei is up 1.28% as of now, Hang Seng is up 0.6% and Strait Times too seem to have made an attempt to go green but remains 0.43% in red.getImageFromSession.php

On the candles yesterday the candle was nice white one but unfortunately could not close above the 20 EMA, The markets trail the mid of Bollinger Bands and the bands remain of somewhat the same width only. The volumes were low and low participation shows. RSI is facing up again but to call it bullish – not yet. Slow Stochastic – both the red and green lines are in the oversold territory and a small bounce back with the help of the was due and may happen again. TRIX has changed its attitude and may change its view to bearish. MACD positive divergence has almost disappeared – but still is alive.

Pivot data… Notice the pivot at the same place as before.
R3 3050 against 3076 Yesterday
R2 3007
R1 2964
Pivot 2888 against 29887 yesterday
S1 2845
S2 2769
S3 2726 against 2698 Yesterday
Projected High Range 2926 to 2986
Projected Low Range 2876 to 2816
Fib Projected High 2963
Fib Projected Low 2779

Best of luck to everyone who is in the markets today – I am out….







The Indian market opened on weak note and saw smart pullback in afternoon session and close in green zone . For coming session if nifty trade above 2943 it can test 2985 -3010 zone on the lower side 2830 will act as support zone.

Nifty Hourly charts shows resistance at 2940-2960

FUTURE

ABOVE 2976 TARGET 3005-3050-3082
BELOW 2913 TARGET 2870-2850-2817
-Always Remember, put SL in your every trade.

Buy INFOSYS above 1126 SL 1108 Target 1144-1162
Buy NTPC above 179 SL 176 Target 181-184
Buy PUNJLLOYD above 146 SL 142 Target 150-154
Buy RANBAXY above 237 SL 225 Target 248-253
Sell MARUTI below 495 SL 504 Target 488-479
Sell TATACOMM below 493 SL 505 Target 486-478




2880 is the key today, longs above it, shorts below it.

we saw serious recovery yestrday, and closed well above 2842, so next positional shorts will be only once we close below 2842 levels.


also keep an eye on reliance, which i feel is showing some weakness for some time now on closing basis, i have a gut feeling that during the next fall, reliance ind is going to lead the fall.


if we open gap down, and hold 2880 levels, then go long above 2906 with SL 2880.a closing above 2906 today will mean nifty will tgt 2986-3015 levels.


if breaks 2880, i will try to short with SL above 2906 .


Nifty :: As per our yesterday post Mid term momentum up and that's why lots of buying seen at every decline.. Last candle made an Engulfing Bullish pattern..Now for 30th Dec put short term buying S.L at 2900.. Below 2900 two more strong support at down side 2860/2805.. up to 2900 our strategy for 30th Dec buy on deep sell at high...At higher side up to 2970 momentum up, above 2970 once again momentum turns strong.. Resistance for up move at 2960/2996/3020/3050/ 3088.. Supports at 2902/2860/2805...

______________________________

Nifty Close

2922

Trend

UP…( Buy )

Resistance

2966-3003

Support

2846-2777

Stop Loss

2888

Trading Zone 30-12-2008

________________________________

Scrip

Cmp

Trigger

Upper Target

Lower Target

Buy /Stop Loss

Reliance

1246

1228

1270-1292

NA

1237

SBI

1271

1251

1297-1322

NA

1265

ABAN

666

662

684-701

NA

660

RNRL

54

52

56-58

NA

52

Rel.Capital

539

527

557-574

498

534

TITAN

906

906

949-992

868

Break Out above 917

RPL

88

87

91-93

NA

87



Symbol Exchange Name Event Close at Event Target Price Range Opportunity Type
ABGSHI NSE ABG Shipyard Ltd Head and Shoulders Bottom 107.70 138.00 - 145.00 Intermediate-Term Bullish
BAYDIA BSE Siemens Medical Solutions Diagnostics Ltd Head and Shoulders Bottom 427.35 527.00 - 550.00 Intermediate-Term Bullish
DINDYE BSE Bodal Chemicals Ltd Head and Shoulders Bottom 26.75 37.00 - 39.00 Intermediate-Term Bullish
DWASUG BSE Dwarikesh Sugar Industries Ltd Head and Shoulders Bottom 38.05 50.00 - 53.00 Intermediate-Term Bullish
ENTNET BSE Entertainment Network India Ltd Head and Shoulders Bottom 143.00 217.00 - 234.00 Intermediate-Term Bullish
ILFINV BSE IL & FS Investsmart Ltd Head and Shoulders Bottom 77.60 101.00 - 108.00 Intermediate-Term Bullish
KILIND BSE Kilpest India Ltd Head and Shoulders Bottom 12.46 15.10 - 15.80 Intermediate-Term Bullish
KNRCON BSE KNR Constructions Ltd Head and Shoulders Bottom 40.30 46.00 - 47.50 Intermediate-Term Bullish
MANHO BSE Manoj Housing Finance Company Head and Shoulders Bottom 6.39 8.10 - 8.50 Intermediate-Term Bullish
SHRPAC BSE Shree Pacetronix Ltd Head and Shoulders Bottom 28.50 33.50 - 34.75 Intermediate-Term Bullish
TRIELE BSE Trishakti Electronics & Indus. Ltd Head and Shoulders Bottom 17.20 20.40 - 21.20 Intermediate-Term Bullish
WESHAT NSE Venky's (India) Ltd Head and Shoulders Bottom 71.00 95.00 - 100.00 Intermediate-Term Bullish

Alert Name: India, Bullish
Alert Criteria: Stocks (Any Indian Exchange); Price at least 3.00; Volume at least 50,000; Classic Patterns; Bullish; Daily Events.

Symbol Exchange Name Event Close at Event Target Price Range Opportunity Type
ABGSHI NSE ABG Shipyard Ltd Head and Shoulders Bottom 107.70 138.00 - 145.00 Intermediate-Term Bullish
JBCHEM NSE JB Chemicals & Pharmaceuticals Ltd Bottom Triangle 41.00 55.00 - 58.00 Intermediate-Term Bullish
PRAIN BSE Praj Industries Ltd Flag (Bullish) 61.90 74.00 - 77.00 Short-Term Bullish
PRAIN NSE Praj Industries Ltd Flag (Bullish) 62.20 75.00 - 78.00 Short-Term Bullish
RANLAB BSE Ranbaxy Laboratories Ltd Bottom Triangle 232.20 289.00 - 304.00 Intermediate-Term Bullish

Alert Name: India, Bearish
Alert Criteria: Stocks (Any Indian Exchange); Price at least 5.00; Volume at least 50,000; Classic Patterns; Bearish; Daily Events.

Symbol Exchange Name Event Close at Event Target Price Range Opportunity Type
GAMIND NSE Gammon India Ltd Continuation Wedge (Bearish) 73.10 37.00 - 44.00 Intermediate-Term Bearish
GREOFF NSE Great Offshore Ltd Descending Continuation Triangle 207.20 117.00 - 134.00 Intermediate-Term Bearish
IBSECU NSE Indiabulls Securities Ltd. Continuation Wedge (Bearish) 21.35 15.75 - 16.75 Intermediate-Term Bearish
PANBIO NSE Panacea Biotec Ltd Descending Continuation Triangle 129.65 101.00 - 106.00 Intermediate-Term Bearish
TATPOW NSE Tata Power Co Ltd Symmetrical Continuation Triangle (Bearish) 727.00 563.00 - 593.00 Intermediate-Term Bearish
TVSSUZ BSE TVS Motor Co Ltd Descending Continuation Triangle 21.65 5.00 - 8.00 Long-Term Bearish

Alert Name: Any Short Term Pattern
Alert Criteria: Stocks (Any Indian Exchange); Price 5.00 to 300.00; Volume between 50,000 and 10,000,000; Short-term Patterns; Any Opportunity Type (Bullish, Bearish or Other); Daily Events.

  • Following are the first 50 matching Technical Event® opportunities out of 86. Please consider refining your alert criteria.

Symbol Exchange Name Event Close at Event Target Price Range Opportunity Type
AKHTEX NSE Core Projects & Technologies Ltd Outside Bar (Bullish) 46.80 n/a Short-Term Bullish
ANSPRO NSE Ansal Properties & Infrastructure Ltd Engulfing Line (Bullish) 32.30 n/a Short-Term Bullish
APOTYR BSE Apollo Tyres Ltd Hammer 18.75 n/a Short-Term Bullish
BALDIS BSE Balaji Distilleries Ltd Engulfing Line (Bullish) 28.95 n/a Short-Term Bullish
BINCEM NSE Binani Cement Ltd Outside Bar (Bullish) 32.50 n/a Short-Term Bullish
CORFER NSE Coromandel Fertilizers Ltd Inside Bar (Bullish) 91.00 n/a Short-Term Bullish
DECCHR NSE Deccan Chronicle Holdings Ltd Hammer 44.25 n/a Short-Term Bullish
ESSOIL NSE Essar Oil Ltd Engulfing Line (Bullish) 90.00 n/a Short-Term Bullish
EXIIND NSE Exide Industries Ltd Engulfing Line (Bullish) 48.00 n/a Short-Term Bullish
GATDIS NSE Gateway Distriparks Ltd Engulfing Line (Bullish) 88.00 n/a Short-Term Bullish
GATDIS NSE Gateway Distriparks Ltd Outside Bar (Bullish) 88.00 n/a Short-Term Bullish
GATDIS NSE Gateway Distriparks Ltd Two Bar Reversal (Bullish) 88.00 n/a Short-Term Bullish
GTLINF NSE GTL Infrastructure Ltd Engulfing Line (Bullish) 29.55 n/a Short-Term Bullish
GUJMI NSE Gujarat Mineral Development Corporation Ltd Engulfing Line (Bullish) 42.10 n/a Short-Term Bullish
HIMCHE NSE Himadri Chemicals & Industries Ltd Gap Down 109.15 n/a Other
HOTLEE NSE Hotel Leela Venture Ltd Inside Bar (Bullish) 18.25 n/a Short-Term Bullish
IDBI BSE Industrial Development Bank of India Engulfing Line (Bullish) 67.35 n/a Short-Term Bullish
IDBI NSE Industrial Development Bank of India Engulfing Line (Bullish) 67.40 n/a Short-Term Bullish
IDECEL NSE IDEA Cellular Ltd Engulfing Line (Bullish) 50.00 n/a Short-Term Bullish
IDFC BSE Infrastructure Development Finance Co Ltd Engulfing Line (Bullish) 66.75 n/a Short-Term Bullish
INDBA NSE Indusind Bank Ltd Hammer 36.75 n/a Short-Term Bullish
INDCEM NSE India Cement Ltd Engulfing Line (Bullish) 98.10 n/a Short-Term Bullish
INDHOT NSE Indian Hotels Co Ltd Hammer 43.65 n/a Short-Term Bullish
INDIBA NSE Indian Bank Ltd Engulfing Line (Bullish) 129.70 n/a Short-Term Bullish
INDINF BSE India Infoline Ltd Engulfing Line (Bullish) 46.50 n/a Short-Term Bullish
INDINF NSE India Infoline Ltd Engulfing Line (Bullish) 47.50 n/a Short-Term Bullish
JAIASS BSE Jaiprakash Associates Ltd Engulfing Line (Bullish) 79.00 n/a Short-Term Bullish
JMSHAR NSE JM Financial Ltd Gap Down 26.00 n/a Other
KSOIL NSE KS Oils Ltd Inside Bar (Bearish) 52.15 n/a Short-Term Bearish
MOSBAE NSE Moser Baer India Ltd Engulfing Line (Bullish) 64.30 n/a Short-Term Bullish
MTNL NSE Mahanagar Telephone Nigam Ltd Hammer 78.55 n/a Short-Term Bullish
NEYLIG NSE Neyveli Lignite Corp Ltd Engulfing Line (Bullish) 65.30 n/a Short-Term Bullish
NTPC NSE NTPC Ltd Hammer 177.75 n/a Short-Term Bullish
OPTCIR NSE Opto Circuits (India) Ltd Inside Bar (Bullish) 90.60 n/a Short-Term Bullish
OSWCHE NSE Oswal Chemicals & Fertilisers Ltd Engulfing Line (Bullish) 14.10 n/a Short-Term Bullish
POWFIN BSE Power Finance Corp Ltd Inside Bar (Bullish) 129.35 n/a Short-Term Bullish
POWFIN NSE Power Finance Corp Ltd Inside Bar (Bullish) 129.45 n/a Short-Term Bullish
PUNLLO BSE Punj Lloyd Ltd Hammer 144.55 n/a Short-Term Bullish
PUNLLO NSE Punj Lloyd Ltd Hammer 144.95 n/a Short-Term Bullish
PYRSAI NSE Pyramid Saimira Theatre Ltd Gap Down 44.60 n/a Other
RANLAB BSE Ranbaxy Laboratories Ltd Engulfing Line (Bullish) 232.20 n/a Short-Term Bullish
RELCOM NSE Reliance Communications Ltd Engulfing Line (Bullish) 212.65 n/a Short-Term Bullish
SAIL BSE Steel Authority of India Ltd Outside Bar (Bullish) 77.75 n/a Short-Term Bullish
SAIL BSE Steel Authority of India Ltd Two Bar Reversal (Bullish) 77.75 n/a Short-Term Bullish
SCI NSE Shipping Corporation of India Ltd Hammer 74.65 n/a Short-Term Bullish
SININD NSE Sintex Industries Ltd Hanging Man 192.75 n/a Short-Term Bearish
TASPHA BSE Marksans Pharma Ltd Hammer 7.40 n/a Short-Term Bullish
TATCHE NSE Tata Chemicals Ltd Engulfing Line (Bullish) 160.50 n/a Short-Term Bullish
UCOBAN NSE UCO Bank Engulfing Line (Bullish) 26.95 n/a Short-Term Bullish
VIJLAK BSE Veejay Lakshmi Engineering Works Ltd Inverted Hammer 22.85 n/a Short-Term Bullish







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