ABGSHIP
ABIRLANOVA
BHUSHAN STEEL
MRF
BOMBAYDY
INFY
TCS
JETAIRWAY
TITAN
MOVEMENTUM STOCK FOR 01.03.2012
AAYESHATECH
ASHRAFVAHORA@YAHOO.COM
9904167626
Wednesday, February 29, 2012
NICKLE BUY SL 952
buy nickel march on dip around 984/986 sl 952 tgt 1076 keep strict sl.........
AAYESHATECH
9904167626
ASHRAFVAHORA@YAHOO.COM
AAYESHATECH
9904167626
ASHRAFVAHORA@YAHOO.COM
commodity view: from friend
Gold moved up on Tuesday and as we get ready to close the month, price is sitting at the most important price point for the year. The chart below shows the green channel lines that gold has been following ever since the 2008 crash. The lower green channel line has provided every single low and with the exception of the August price explosion, the middle green line (or midway channel line) has provided all the peaks.
A channel is about the least arbitrary technical tool we can look at because the MARKET price structure defines its boundaries. Yes, a human still has to put the lines in, and that is why we don't call it totally unbiased. The channel is nothing more than a standard deviation of price that the market itself forms. It stands to reason then that the greatest place a market can have a price peak is at the channel line. After all, it is the upper standard deviation of price.
Since that is a factor that seems to be working well, one of the things the chart is telling us is that price is actually arriving at one of the two potential high price points for the year. The other of course being the upper green channel line at the 2100-2200 area. So while the trends are all up and the market looks great, it is also at one of the two potential high points for the year. If gold can close above this channel line, the upside and 2000 dollar gold will come into play. The other scenario, is that gold is going to form a major high point next week, and a seasonal correction is going to take place. Which one will it be ?
A channel is about the least arbitrary technical tool we can look at because the MARKET price structure defines its boundaries. Yes, a human still has to put the lines in, and that is why we don't call it totally unbiased. The channel is nothing more than a standard deviation of price that the market itself forms. It stands to reason then that the greatest place a market can have a price peak is at the channel line. After all, it is the upper standard deviation of price.
Since that is a factor that seems to be working well, one of the things the chart is telling us is that price is actually arriving at one of the two potential high price points for the year. The other of course being the upper green channel line at the 2100-2200 area. So while the trends are all up and the market looks great, it is also at one of the two potential high points for the year. If gold can close above this channel line, the upside and 2000 dollar gold will come into play. The other scenario, is that gold is going to form a major high point next week, and a seasonal correction is going to take place. Which one will it be ?
Tuesday, February 28, 2012
SILVER FROM FRIEND
Silver Above $ 36/Oz Will Take No Prisoners
Andy Hecht (January 25, 2012)
Back in 1995, when I ran the giant precious-metals trading business at the Phibro division of Salomon Brothers, silver wasn't just cheap – it was the Rodney Dangerfield of the commodities market.
Back then, silver "got no respect." It was trading under $5 an ounce, and traders would say: "You can never be short enough silver."
Other traders called silver a "barbarous relic."
But back then, the metal was not regarded as precious and, the fundamentals were weak, thanks to the Hunt brothers, the billionaires who tried and failed to manipulate and corner the world silver market during the late 1970s.
At the same time, the industrial use of silver was in decline – largely because of new technology in photography.
But even then, I saw something positive and interesting going on amid all the weakness and pessimism.
I, along with three other traders at Phibro, took a significant position in silver. We bought a little over $1 billion worth of the metal. We went long 265 million ounces. It's a hell of a story, but one for another day.
Suffice to say, that kind of stash today would cost almost $9 billion!
Fast forward 17 years and the price of silver is almost nine times higher.
When the silver market peaked last year at above $49, the CME and CFTC raised margins on this metal that had by now become "precious" and the price tanked an astonishing 33% in two short weeks!
The silver market then dropped again. By September, it traded down to just above $26, transforming this now precious metal back into an industrial metal.
Silver Exploded and Plummeted in 2011
Before silver tanked, it ran up from $28 at the start of 2011 to more than $49 in March. When the CME raised margins, they forced many long positions to exit the market as the cost of holding a position became prohibitive.
There has since been a sharp correction in the silver price, and the once-precious metal has behaved in a way normally associated with"industrial" commodities.
Ever since silver tanked, its close relationship with gold has all but disappeared.
Silver fundamentals are great but, as an industrial metal, the price ain't cheap…
Since 2000, photographic demand for the metal has dropped by 65%, but its application in technology – such as the use of silver in cell phones and computers – has increased by 40%.
At the same, however, investment demand has increased by 480% – thanks to growing global deficits and the declining value of paper money.
The demand for silver has exploded since I bought that monster position back in 1995.
What Will Get Silver Going Again?
Silver has taken a breather since last April. The price has now corrected and many "weak"holders of the commodity have sold their holdings. Open interest (the total number of long and short positions in silver futures contracts) has dropped by 50% since April of last year.
Unfortunately, silver will not go back down to the cheap level where I was able to buy boatloads of it in 1995. But, the time is coming close when we will be able to jump back onto the band wagon.
Silver will soon change back into a precious metal. When it does, the prices will make the next leg up in the multi-year bull market and the tarnish of the second part of last year will disappear quickly.
Last year's sharp decline chased many investors away from the market.
But just as silver began to glimmer in my eyes in 1995, it has begun to look very shiny to me again today.
A Silver Bonanza in 2012
I believe silver will climb higher in 2012. And the drivers will be massive deficits, weaker paper currencies and the demand for hard assets.
I would not be surprised to see silver trade up to $75 over the course of the next year.
But before its ascent begins, the price must erase the technical damage done last year.
Long-term resistance for silver stands at $36 an ounce. Once prices break above this level and hold, the sky is the limit and silver will once again act and trade like the precious metal that it is.
That's when silver will once again become gold's little brother.
How to Play the Market
There are many ways to participate in the next leg up in this exciting and volatile market. Be prepared to buy silver on a break above $36.
Silver options and futures are traded on the COMEX division of the CME. And there are silver stocks, such as Silver Wheaton (SLW), as well as silver coins and bars, which are available from reputable coins dealers and banks such as EverBank.
Silver promises to shine once again in 2012. Keep your eye on this precious metal because once it gets going it will not take any prisoners!
Happy trade hunting…
FROM FRIEND
AAYESHATECH
WILD CARD STOCKS FOR 28.02.2012
STOCK TO BE WATCHED FOR 28.02.2012
MNM
ONGC,
NESCO
KSOIL
GLENMARK
TATAPOWER
JETAIRWAYS
SESAGOA
AAYESHATECH
9904167626
MNM
ONGC,
NESCO
KSOIL
GLENMARK
TATAPOWER
JETAIRWAYS
SESAGOA
AAYESHATECH
9904167626
GOLD SILVER ALL MAKING NEW HIGH
Ratios
Nifty Put Call Ratio: 1.08
Nifty P/E Ratio(28-Feb-2012): 19.05
Advances & Declines
BSE Advances : 2170
BSE Declines : 748
NSE Advances : 1238
NSE Declines : 234
Nifty Open Interest Changed Today
Nifty- 5300 CE(Feb)- +84300(+5.31%)
Nifty- 5300 PE(Feb)- -551900(-8.64%)
Nifty- 5400 CE(Feb)- +36100(+1.60%)
Nifty- 5400 PE(Feb)- +448700(+12.99%)
Nifty- 5500 CE(Feb)- +149800(+4.03%)
Nifty- 5500 PE(Feb)- +164150(+5.76%)
Closing
Nifty- closed at 5,375.50(+94.30 Points & +1.79%)
Sensex- closed at 17,731.12(+285.37Points & +1.64% )
CNX Midcap - closed at 7,611.30(+259.50 Points & +3.53%)
BSE Smallcap- closed at 6,317.42(+207.90 Points & +3.40%)
SILVER MADE HIGH 59500
GOLD STILL CATCHING FIRE RESIS 1805 COMEX LEVEL
AAYESHATECH
Nifty Put Call Ratio: 1.08
Nifty P/E Ratio(28-Feb-2012): 19.05
Advances & Declines
BSE Advances : 2170
BSE Declines : 748
NSE Advances : 1238
NSE Declines : 234
Nifty Open Interest Changed Today
Nifty- 5300 CE(Feb)- +84300(+5.31%)
Nifty- 5300 PE(Feb)- -551900(-8.64%)
Nifty- 5400 CE(Feb)- +36100(+1.60%)
Nifty- 5400 PE(Feb)- +448700(+12.99%)
Nifty- 5500 CE(Feb)- +149800(+4.03%)
Nifty- 5500 PE(Feb)- +164150(+5.76%)
Closing
Nifty- closed at 5,375.50(+94.30 Points & +1.79%)
Sensex- closed at 17,731.12(+285.37Points & +1.64% )
CNX Midcap - closed at 7,611.30(+259.50 Points & +3.53%)
BSE Smallcap- closed at 6,317.42(+207.90 Points & +3.40%)
SILVER MADE HIGH 59500
GOLD STILL CATCHING FIRE RESIS 1805 COMEX LEVEL
AAYESHATECH
Sunday, February 26, 2012
GOLD SILVER VIEW
After a five month battle with the long term blue line, price finally broke above and rallied to the red 13 moving average line. The long term price is in the phase process of trying to increase the velocity and momentum back to the upside. In order to re-capture the pace of the first half of 2011, price must re-enter the upper momentum channel. That current price point is at the 38.20 area, where the lower momentum channel line and the 50% retracement point of the crash of 2011.
The weekly price chart below shows the previous four weeks, where price kept knocking up against that blue channel line. The breakthrough opens up the potential for price to now challenge that upper momentum line. The only strong resistance remaining is the Red 13 moving average near the 35.50 area. Wednesday is the last trade day of the month and we want to see a close above the long term blue line in order to solidify that area as becoming support. It would not be unusual for price to re-test the blue line on a pullback. However, since price just spent 4 weeks testing the underneath of that line, price could keep right on moving higher here.
Our longer term accumulation point in 2011 was at the 27.55 area, and we've just took a short term position at 34.55 on Friday. So far year to date, we've picked up over $5 dollars in short term trade profits over the first six weeks of the year. The trend remains up.
GOLD VIEW:
Gold broke out to new highs last week and exceeded the key 1767 December price high. The key now for gold is to take out the 1804 price area. With this Wednesday the last day of the month, a close above 1767 would be another notch in the case that the correction for gold is over and new highs are coming. This current price area on the long term charts and channels is one of the two price points that could turn out to be high points for the year. The Green channel lines have been providing support and resistance since 2009 and the December low was an exact hit of that lower trend line.
The two most likely price points for a high in 2012 is the 1800-1868 area and the 2100-2200 area at the upper green channel line. Thus, anyone looking to lighten up, or sell inventory or scrap, this is an excellent price point to consider. The long term trends are all up, and this price point is one we need to pay attention to. If price can achieve a monthly close above 1868, the the upper line above 2000 will become the next target for a yearly high.
The US Dollar
AAYESHATECH
REAL TIME REAL PROFIT
9904167626
ASHRAFVAHORA@YAHOO.COM
The weekly price chart below shows the previous four weeks, where price kept knocking up against that blue channel line. The breakthrough opens up the potential for price to now challenge that upper momentum line. The only strong resistance remaining is the Red 13 moving average near the 35.50 area. Wednesday is the last trade day of the month and we want to see a close above the long term blue line in order to solidify that area as becoming support. It would not be unusual for price to re-test the blue line on a pullback. However, since price just spent 4 weeks testing the underneath of that line, price could keep right on moving higher here.
Our longer term accumulation point in 2011 was at the 27.55 area, and we've just took a short term position at 34.55 on Friday. So far year to date, we've picked up over $5 dollars in short term trade profits over the first six weeks of the year. The trend remains up.
GOLD VIEW:
Gold broke out to new highs last week and exceeded the key 1767 December price high. The key now for gold is to take out the 1804 price area. With this Wednesday the last day of the month, a close above 1767 would be another notch in the case that the correction for gold is over and new highs are coming. This current price area on the long term charts and channels is one of the two price points that could turn out to be high points for the year. The Green channel lines have been providing support and resistance since 2009 and the December low was an exact hit of that lower trend line.
The two most likely price points for a high in 2012 is the 1800-1868 area and the 2100-2200 area at the upper green channel line. Thus, anyone looking to lighten up, or sell inventory or scrap, this is an excellent price point to consider. The long term trends are all up, and this price point is one we need to pay attention to. If price can achieve a monthly close above 1868, the the upper line above 2000 will become the next target for a yearly high.
The US Dollar
It looks like the major announcements that came from the Fed last month are doing its job. It now looks like a major reversal back down is in the early stages of development in regards to this latest wave. We don’t want to jump the gun, but the chart looks vulnerable. From a long term perspective, the chart below shows the US dollar bounce was just enough to qualify it as a long term wave. The dollar retraced at its highest point 23% of what it has lost over the last 10 years.
Unless the US Dollar turns around and rallies hard next week, the February close is in danger of closing below the December lows. There’s a final Gann angle line that has not been broken yet and the 34 week moving average still requires the dollar to close below the 76 level, but the chart suggests the dollar is on the ropes at the moment. AAYESHATECH
REAL TIME REAL PROFIT
9904167626
ASHRAFVAHORA@YAHOO.COM
Friday, February 24, 2012
CHARTS
SILVER TGT 59800
GOLD TGT 29000
NIFTY IF TAKE SUPPORT 5378 OR 5410 TGT 5700-5800
SL 1%
AAYESHATECH
NOR BULLISH NOR BEARISH..
ONLY TECHNICAL REAL TIME REAL PROFIT
9904167626
ASHRAFVAHORA.
stock to be watch for 27-02-2012
| Ticker | Date/Time | OPEN | HIGH | LOW | CLOSE |
| BHEL-I | 24-02-2012 | 310.3 | 312.6 | 299.55 | 302.5 |
| DJIA-I | 24-02-2012 | 12970 | 12980 | 12957.5 | 12975 |
| GLAXO-I | 24-02-2012 | 2055.1 | 2071.95 | 2055.1 | 2061.6 |
| HAVELLS-I | 24-02-2012 | 524 | 529.45 | 510 | 521.6 |
| M&M-I | 24-02-2012 | 736.25 | 744.4 | 725.4 | 738.45 |
| MARUTI-I | 24-02-2012 | 1294.95 | 1301.25 | 1281 | 1294.8 |
Tuesday, February 21, 2012
STOCK TO BE OBSERVE FOR TMW
| Ticker | Date/Time | OPEN | HIGH | LOW | CLOSE |
| ABAN-I | 21-02-2012 | 551.75 | 562.1 | 550.05 | 558.65 |
| ABB-I | 21-02-2012 | 898 | 905 | 880 | 884.45 |
| ACC-I | 21-02-2012 | 1368 | 1385 | 1359.95 | 1374.1 |
| ADANIENT-I | 21-02-2012 | 413.4 | 428.3 | 413.4 | 424.1 |
| ANDHRABANK-I | 21-02-2012 | 132.4 | 133.15 | 129.7 | 131.25 |
| APIL-I | 21-02-2012 | 424 | 426.9 | 414.5 | 420 |
| ASIANPAINT-I | 21-02-2012 | 3055 | 3082.65 | 3049.05 | 3054.05 |
| BAJAJHLDNG-I | 21-02-2012 | 805 | 813.4 | 796.05 | 812.45 |
| BEL-I | 21-02-2012 | 1511.75 | 1511.75 | 1494.1 | 1501.65 |
| BIOCON-I | 21-02-2012 | 296.65 | 300.7 | 293.55 | 295.45 |
| CIPLA-I | 21-02-2012 | 323.9 | 326.3 | 321.05 | 323.5 |
| COLPAL-I | 21-02-2012 | 1016.75 | 1016.75 | 1013 | 1014 |
| CROMPGREAV-I | 21-02-2012 | 162 | 163.9 | 159.05 | 162.55 |
| GAIL-I | 21-02-2012 | 385 | 385 | 377.75 | 382.6 |
| INDUSINDBK-I | 21-02-2012 | 318.05 | 323.35 | 314 | 316.45 |
| JINDALSTEL-I | 21-02-2012 | 642.2 | 653.35 | 638.25 | 644.65 |
| NEYVELILIG-I | 21-02-2012 | 100.4 | 102.75 | 99 | 99.75 |
| NFTYMCAP50-I | 21-02-2012 | 2400 | 2400 | 2400 | 2400 |
| PNB-I | 21-02-2012 | 1079.65 | 1093.85 | 1071 | 1076.95 |
| SUNTV-I | 21-02-2012 | 325.95 | 330 | 322.05 | 324.15 |
| TTKPRESTIG-I | 21-02-2012 | 2970 | 3048.3 | 2957 | 3025.9 |
| ULTRACEMCO-I | 21-02-2012 | 1489.4 | 1490 | 1476.05 | 1487.8 |
| YESBANK-I | 21-02-2012 | 364.55 | 371.9 | 364.55 | 369.6 |
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