Friday, October 16, 2009

newsletter

Stock Buy Around Target 1 Target 2 Stop Loss
ADLABS FILMS IF BREAKS 371 375 377 367
APIL IF BREAKS 577.50 584 588 572.50
BGR ENERGY IF BREAKS 505 512 518 498
BHEL IF BREAKS 2550 2580 2600 2525
BOMBAY DYEING IF BREAKS 430 435 438 426.50
BRFL IF BREAKS 221 224.50 227 218
GE SHIPPING IF BREAKS 290 294 296 287
ICSA IF BREAKS 220 224 228 217
JP ASSOCIATES IF BREAKS 258 261 264 255
L&T IF BREAKS 1710 1735 1750 1690
M&M IF BREAKS 981 988 995 975
PFC IF BREAKS 238.50 242 244 235.50
WELSPUN GUJRAT IF BREAKS 283 287 290 280




Nifty :: Once again Nifty made a Spinning Top Doji candle pattern but this time with High Wave bullish candle.. As far as stay above 5100/5077 nothing to worry for bulls.. Nifty heading towards short term turning date with all various type of Elliott wave target in between 5100 to 5195, be careful at higher level and use strictly stop loss in buying.. As we say up to 5100 nothing to worry for bulls and that’s why our strategy for 16th Oct up to 5100 buy in deep (S.L 5054) sell at high (S.L 5220)..Resistance for up move at 5128/5160/5177/ 5195/5220.. Supports at 5100/5077/5054/5044/5018..
Exit from all long intraday position if Nifty break 5054...Our mid term buying S.L now revise as 4965 as closing basis…


Obama’s healthcare plan to benefit Indian IT players
BIBHU RANJAN MISHRA &PRAVEEN BOSE Bangalore, 15 October


Obama’s stimulus plan proposes to allocate $150 billion to healthcare. Of this, nearly $20 billion is proposed for healthcare IT alone


Indian top-tier information technology services companies, who were banking on the recession-proof healthcare sector to tide over uncertainty, are now seeing multi-billion dollar opportunities from the healthcare space in the US, especially the Obama administration’s proposed American Recovery and Reinvestment Plan.
The chances that US President Obama will achieve a near-universal healthcare system have dramatically improved after a lone Republican, Senator Olympia Snowe of Maine, prepared to vote with Democrats for a compromise proposal. This gives Obama a much better chance of achieving the 60 votes he needs to pass a Bill in the Senate.
The plan, which proposes to create Electronic Health Records (EHRs) for all Americans by 2014 with an investment of $20 billion, can open up new vistas of opportunities for Indian IT services firms including Infosys, Wipro, TCS and MindTree in areas of EHR implementations, upgrade, integration and interoperabilityrelated works.
“Obama’s stimulus plan proposes to allocate $150 billion to healthcare. Of this, nearly $20 billion is proposed for healthcare IT alone, most of which is expected to be spent on Electronic Health Records. This allocation, as part of the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act, is opening up the healthcare IT market like never before. It is bringing in a host of opportunities for EHR vendors, healthcare IT service providers and hospital systems,” says Rajiv Shah, Senior VicePresident, Healthcare Services SBU (strategic business unit), Wipro Technologies.
Other than the EHR implementation and upgrade, he says the proposed Act has brought new opportunities for service providers to engage more closely with EHR vendors, which can open up more strategic partnerships and alliances.
“The Obama administration’s healthcare plan will benefit not just Infosys but also many other Indian IT services companies. We see this as an area of significant opportunity for the future, and that is an area where we are investing now. IT will play a significant role in bringing down the healthcare costs as proposed under the plan,” agrees SGopalakrishnan, CEO and MD of Infosys Technologies.
If the American Recovery and Reinvestment plan as proposed by Obama goes live, it will help hospitals maintain a digital record of the patients. If a patient decides to change his/her healthcare provider, the hospital can easily share the EHR with the next healthcare provider, thus ensuring portability for the EHRs.
The IT vendors will have to play a huge role in ensuring the EHR created by one provider is compatible with the IT systems used by another, in the absence of which there can be aloss of information. “Due to these fears, the patients might be restricted with regard to his choice for the right care. We are in a position to help build software to access the central database for doctors and hospitals,” said Sridhar Perepa, GM, R&D, MindTree.
Traditionally, the healthcare industry was quite slow in adopting technology, a bottleneck in integrating various healthcare systems. However, defying the recent recessionary markets, the healthcare sector has remained quite steady in terms of investment, which has kept alive the hopes of most IT services firms with alittle focus on the sector.
Says Gopalakrishnan: “All developed countries have a population that is aging. As the population ages, healthcare becomes very, very important — both preventive and curative.” The healthcare industry in most developed countries has been notoriously expensive, an offshoot of lower investment on technology, which is expected to force healthcare providers to increase their investment in IT.
“The healthcare industry has been very slow in adopting technology, globally. The databases are not integrated, the pharmacy does not talk to the physician — it’s not integrated. There is a lot that needs to be done through automation and that’s what US is planning —integrating all these things and creating a next generation technology-driven healthcare system,” opines Gopalakrishnan.
The US presently suffers from a high-cost delivery healthcare model arising from high medico-legal compliance cost. The US patient is paying for treatment based on process inputs, rather than outputs linked to benefits received. Analysts feel the Obama administration’s first priority will be to remove inefficiencies in the medicare delivery process, thereby reducing the cost of delivery. However, this may not directly benefit the Indian IT services providers, but opportunities will gradually trickle down in the form of long-term partnerships with the US healthcare industry.
“As the US healthcare system is generally well supported by tested technology platforms, the Obama plan on healthcare is, by itself, not likely to create significant new opportunities for the Indian IT industry in the normal course. However, if Indian technology players can build new solutions to assist the US healthcare industry to prevent leakages, improve efficiency, reduce the cost and wastage, and transform the core process of delivery, then they have a significant opportunity,” said Pradip Kanakia, Head of Markets and Healthcare Services, KPMG in India.
Even IT services providers have started to realise this. The renewed focus on healthcare by the administration is also encouraging other allied IT applications (other than EHR) to take better shape. “We are also working actively on hosted EMR models, remote managed services offerings for the EHR product vendors, interoperability testing, digitisation of medical records, and integration of EHR and PHR, among others,” says Rajiv Shah of Wipro Technologies.


My Commnets:
This is another shot in arm for IT ind.Analyst are downgrading IT sector and good news keeps on coming.First we saw that Indian IT will get orders from European countries so they will have not to worry about Dollar depreciation.
Now Obama health Insurance plan is opening new vistas for IT Ind.I am seeing a great future for IT sector......$20 bn will be at stake.....means Rs 96,000 cr...Ninty six thousand crore orders....Wow!
Over and about that Aerospace cos orders like Boeing,Jet etc are suppose to add to the kitty of IT cos.
In small space the cos to keep a watch on is Avental Ltd.I am tracking this co since 2-3 yrs and I like it.It has recently concluded a buy back at rs 50 and has also recently won orders from Boeing.......That speaks about the quality of sevice Avantel gives.....getting order from MNC co is big thing for a small co..
There is one other co. named Intense Techno.They have allotted shares to Bennett and Colman (Times Of India Gr)at Rs 30 while the price is 15.Intense has collobarated with Hitachi Data Techno for selling their products and helping eachother to prosper...

AKSH OPTIFIBRES closed up   1.050 at  22.450.  Volume was 46% below average (neutral) and Bollinger Bands were 114% wider than normal.
Technical Outlook
Short Term:          Oversold
Intermediate Term:   Bullish
Long Term:           Bullish


  • The market is near to being balanced and the price might move in either direction.
  • The momentum is downward.
  • The downward momentum is slowing.
  • This is an ambiguous area, so be patient until the market gives a better reason for going either up or down.  This is a dull market: remember that the biggest moves originate from dull markets.

Bharat Mudgal’s comments:


AKSH OPTIFIBRES has been falling down from the peak of 97.00. It got stable with the first buy signal at 18.90 ( as seen on the chart) after which it gave a strong up move to 27.25. There was some profit booking seen at this level and the stock was down to 22.45 where it has given a re-entry signal as per our trading system.
One can BUY the stock with a target of 26.40 > 42 > 45. We do not give any stoploss, still a risk averse trader can keep a stop at 20.00 on a closing basis.
FOR DATE 16-10-2009
SCRIP = HINDUSTAN ZINC LIMITED. (NSE),
SCRIP CODE = HINDZINC,
PREVIOUS CLOSE = 866.05,
STOP LOSS = 850,
TARGET = 1006.
FOR INTRADAY MOVEMENT OF THE STOCKFILTER PLEASE Click Here!
(OR CLICK THE LINK ABOVE LIVE SENSEX WATCH.)
CHART AS ON  15-10-2009CHART AS ON 15-10-2009
WITH A CONSIDERABLE RISE IN VOLUMES, THE STOCK HAS GIVEN A FRESH BREAKOUT IN THE LAST TRADING SESSION. THE STOCK IS IN CONSOLIDATION SINCE SEPTEMBER AND IS IN A STRONG UP TREND FROM FEBRUARY.
THE RSI SHOW A POSITIVE CROSSOVER.
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS AND PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT SUGGESTS THIS COUNTER FOR A SHORT TO MEDIUM TERM RANGE.
STRICTLY MAINTAIN AND FOLLOW THE STOP LOSS.

CAMBRIDGE SOLUTION CLOSED 85.75,BUY THIS FOR SHORT TERM DELIVERY EXIT IF CLOSE BELOW 67,UPPER SIDE TARGET 110-126-148
(B) CARBORANDUM UNIVERSAL,CLOSED AT 151 BUY THIS FOR SHORT TERM DELIVERY EXIT IF CLOSE BELOW 131,UPPERSIDE TAR 163-168-179
(C) BOC LTD,CLOSED AT 175,EXIT IF CLOSE BELOW 148,UPSIDE TARGET 200-225




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